TrueWedge

Proportion Estimation

The gap between what a proportion is and what human intuition sees.

The two halves of TrueWedge

TrueWedge is built around two complementary ideas:

  • Honest geometry in selection: In our random selection wheel, a slice with a 20% probability strictly occupies 20% of the circle. The picture is never allowed to disagree with the odds.
  • Visual calibration in estimation: A suite of interactive games and research essays designed to measure, demonstrate, and train human judgment against the biological distortions of our visual perception.

Whether judging the slice of a pie chart, evaluating the height of a bar graph, or assessing medical risk, human eyes and brains make predictable estimation errors. This hub is the home for our research, calibration tools, and daily estimation challenges.

Foundational research & essays

In-depth, academically cited examinations of how humans perceive proportions and how visual encodings influence judgment.

Interactive estimation games

Planned tools to test your visual intuition against mathematical truth.

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    Angle & Wedge Estimation

    Practice estimating circle sector percentages and angles without guides. Discover where your eye systematically over- or under-estimates proportions.

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    Area vs. Length Comparator

    Experience Stevens’ Power Law firsthand. Compare your accuracy judging 1D linear bar lengths against 2D circles, squares, and 3D shapes.

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    The Deceptive Axis Spotter

    Train your eye to detect truncated baselines, disproportionate pictograms, and stretched aspect ratios in real-world media and financial charts.

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    Daily Perception Challenge

    A daily 60-second perceptual challenge testing your visual calibration on random ratios, distributions, and demographic proportions.

Why calibration matters

When people cannot accurately read visual proportions, they become vulnerable to manipulative marketing, misleading financial products, and distorted public policy debates.

By combining honest geometric rendering with active perceptual training, TrueWedge aims to make accurate quantitative intuition accessible to everyone.